Every tracked ticker's directional read is scored by FIRST PASSAGE of its own stamped levels
against spot: target before invalidation = WIN, invalidation first = LOSS, unresolved after
5 sessions = SCRATCH. No capital is deployed. The hit
rate by confidence bucket below is the credibility this experiment is trying to earn — the n
counts are shown so a thin sample reads as thin.
| Confidence | W–L | Hit | n | Avg/signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HIGH | 0–1 | 0% | 1 | -2.97% |
| MEDIUM | 0–1 | 0% | 1 | -0.85% |
Revised (withdrawn before resolution): 1 — excluded from the hit rate.
Superseded (same-direction re-anchor): 3 — books no return, excluded from the hit rate. Goalpost discipline: 0 loosening / 3 holds-or-tightens.
SYM / higher-degree coincidence at open (record-only — never scores, sizes, or calibrates):
| Split | +coincident | −none |
|---|---|---|
| Boroden +SYM | 0–2 (0%, n=2) | 0–0 (0%, n=0) |
| Weekly/Monthly level | 0–2 (0%, n=2) | 0–0 (0%, n=0) |
| Ticker | Status | Trend | Conf | Primary count | Target | Invalidation | Dir. obj. | P(tgt) | Alt P | Sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | clean | BULLISH | MEDIUM | Bullish Wave 2 | 737.20 | 724.40 | 760.40 | 75% | 35% | 54 |
| QQQ | clean | BULLISH | MEDIUM | Bullish impulse | 724.99 | 715.57 | 748.65 | 65% | 40% | 54 |
| TSLA | clean | BEARISH | MEDIUM | Bearish impulse developing from M14 (415.00) | 399.35 | 404.24 | 390.05 | 65% | 45% | 54 |
| AAPL | clean | BULLISH | HIGH | Wave ii of 1 (or A) | 298.40 | 287.38 | 316.14 | 70% | 35% | 54 |
| NVDA | clean | BULLISH | MEDIUM | Wave 2 | 202.50 | 199.34 | 212.71 | 65% | 35% | 54 |
| AMZN | clean | BULLISH | MEDIUM | Wave 2 Pullback | 235.56 | 233.59 | 246.22 | 55% | 45% | 54 |
| AMD | clean | BULLISH | HIGH | Wave 5 | 511.39 | 507.25 | 532.05 | 85% | 30% | 54 |
| META | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Wave 3 of (C) or (3) down | 600.14 | 605.81 | 526.69 | 75% | 30% | 54 |
| MSFT | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Wave 3 (Bearish) | 386.60 | 390.05 | — | 65% | 40% | 54 |
| GOOGL | clean | BULLISH | HIGH | Wave 2 (or B) pullback underway | 361.18 | 346.36 | 376.00 | 80% | 30% | 54 |
Data source: AlphaVantage 1m · realized coverage 54–54 sessions (130m base degree wants ~42).
Trend/confidence/counts are the Scout’s reading of the tape; targets, invalidations and P(target) are the falsifiable claims the scorecard above grades. “Alt P” is the alternate count’s relative probability vs the primary.