Every tracked ticker's directional read is scored by FIRST PASSAGE of its own stamped levels
against spot: target before invalidation = WIN, invalidation first = LOSS, unresolved after
5 sessions = SCRATCH. No capital is deployed. The hit
rate by confidence bucket below is the credibility this experiment is trying to earn — the n
counts are shown so a thin sample reads as thin.
| Confidence | W–L | Hit | n | Avg/signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HIGH | 22–28 | 44% | 50 | +0.46% |
| MEDIUM | 8–13 | 38% | 21 | -0.12% |
Revised (withdrawn before resolution): 40 — excluded from the hit rate.
Superseded (same-direction re-anchor): 52 — books no return, excluded from the hit rate. Goalpost discipline: 10 loosening / 50 holds-or-tightens.
SYM / higher-degree coincidence at open (record-only — never scores, sizes, or calibrates):
| Split | +coincident | −none |
|---|---|---|
| Boroden +SYM | 27–34 (44%, n=61) | 3–7 (30%, n=10) |
| Weekly/Monthly level | 24–30 (44%, n=54) | 6–11 (35%, n=17) |
| Ticker | Status | Trend | Conf | Primary count | Target | Invalidation | Dir. obj. | P(tgt) | Alt P | Sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | clean | BULLISH | MEDIUM | Bullish Impulse from M29 (739.51) | 753.05 | 750.20 | 760.41 | 65% | 35% | 51 |
| QQQ | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Wave (iii) of Minor C Down | 720.29 | 726.39 | 692.45 | 75% | 35% | 51 |
| TSLA | clean | BULLISH | HIGH | Bullish impulse from M27 (390.51) | 394.00 | 390.51 | 430.61 | 75% | 30% | 51 |
| AAPL | clean | BULLISH | MEDIUM | Bullish Impulse | 318.31 | 311.91 | 399.58 | 75% | 30% | 51 |
| NVDA | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Bearish impulse from D45 (211.00) | 212.67 | 213.82 | 206.04 | 75% | 35% | 51 |
| AMZN | clean | BULLISH | HIGH | Bullish Impulse from 225.55 | 246.10 | 239.30 | 276.40 | 80% | 35% | 51 |
| AMD | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Primary Bearish Impulse | 532.51 | 556.30 | 508.59 | 75% | 30% | 51 |
| META | clean | BULLISH | HIGH | Wave v of c of (iii) | 676.36 | 673.37 | 710.40 | 75% | 20% | 51 |
| MSFT | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Bearish Zigzag (Wave B complete, Wave C down) | 389.13 | 398.96 | 378.65 | 70% | 40% | 51 |
| GOOGL | clean | BULLISH | MEDIUM | Wave b of (iii) DOWN | 359.70 | 351.08 | 382.27 | 60% | 40% | 51 |
Data source: AlphaVantage 1m · realized coverage 51–51 sessions (130m base degree wants ~42).
Trend/confidence/counts are the Scout’s reading of the tape; targets, invalidations and P(target) are the falsifiable claims the scorecard above grades. “Alt P” is the alternate count’s relative probability vs the primary.