Every tracked ticker's directional read is scored by FIRST PASSAGE of its own stamped levels
against spot: target before invalidation = WIN, invalidation first = LOSS, unresolved after
5 sessions = SCRATCH. No capital is deployed. The hit
rate by confidence bucket below is the credibility this experiment is trying to earn — the n
counts are shown so a thin sample reads as thin.
| Confidence | W–L | Hit | n | Avg/signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HIGH | 25–35 | 42% | 60 | +0.38% |
| MEDIUM | 10–16 | 38% | 26 | -0.00% |
Revised (withdrawn before resolution): 46 — excluded from the hit rate.
Superseded (same-direction re-anchor): 57 — books no return, excluded from the hit rate. Goalpost discipline: 10 loosening / 54 holds-or-tightens.
SYM / higher-degree coincidence at open (record-only — never scores, sizes, or calibrates):
| Split | +coincident | −none |
|---|---|---|
| Boroden +SYM | 32–43 (43%, n=75) | 3–8 (27%, n=11) |
| Weekly/Monthly level | 27–36 (43%, n=63) | 8–15 (35%, n=23) |
| Ticker | Status | Trend | Conf | Primary count | Target | Invalidation | Dir. obj. | P(tgt) | Alt P | Sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | clean | BEARISH | MEDIUM | Bearish Impulse from M30 (755.58) | 745.38 | 747.01 | 736.18 | 65% | 40% | 54 |
| QQQ | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Minute (iii) of Minor 3 Down | 704.02 | 705.80 | 686.76 | 75% | 30% | 54 |
| TSLA | clean | BULLISH | HIGH | Bullish Wave (ii) completion | 377.00 | 368.59 | 385.69 | 85% | 20% | 54 |
| AAPL | clean | BULLISH | HIGH | Wave iv of c Correction | 329.76 | 334.67 | 321.84 | 75% | 25% | 54 |
| NVDA | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Bearish impulse from M25 (213.81) | 204.17 | 207.74 | 197.97 | 70% | 35% | 54 |
| AMZN | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Bearish Impulse from 257.12 | 248.25 | 257.12 | 238.68 | 75% | 30% | 54 |
| AMD | clean | BULLISH | HIGH | Primary Bullish Impulse | 518.07 | 462.32 | 566.47 | 75% | 35% | 54 |
| META | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Bearish Impulse from M25 (686.08) | 636.01 | 681.90 | 619.56 | 75% | 30% | 54 |
| MSFT | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Bearish Impulse from 405.99 | 395.30 | 405.99 | 378.91 | 65% | 40% | 54 |
| GOOGL | clean | BULLISH | HIGH | Minor Wave 3 UP | 350.75 | 341.36 | 373.72 | 75% | 30% | 54 |
Data source: AlphaVantage 1m · realized coverage 54–54 sessions (130m base degree wants ~42).
Trend/confidence/counts are the Scout’s reading of the tape; targets, invalidations and P(target) are the falsifiable claims the scorecard above grades. “Alt P” is the alternate count’s relative probability vs the primary.