Every tracked ticker's directional read is scored by FIRST PASSAGE of its own stamped levels
against spot: target before invalidation = WIN, invalidation first = LOSS, unresolved after
5 sessions = SCRATCH. No capital is deployed. The hit
rate by confidence bucket below is the credibility this experiment is trying to earn — the n
counts are shown so a thin sample reads as thin.
| Confidence | W–L | Hit | n | Avg/signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HIGH | 27–46 | 37% | 73 | +0.15% |
| MEDIUM | 10–19 | 34% | 29 | -0.14% |
Revised (withdrawn before resolution): 54 — excluded from the hit rate.
Superseded (same-direction re-anchor): 65 — books no return, excluded from the hit rate. Goalpost discipline: 14 loosening / 62 holds-or-tightens.
SYM / higher-degree coincidence at open (record-only — never scores, sizes, or calibrates):
| Split | +coincident | −none |
|---|---|---|
| Boroden +SYM | 34–56 (38%, n=90) | 3–9 (25%, n=12) |
| Weekly/Monthly level | 29–48 (38%, n=77) | 8–17 (32%, n=25) |
| Ticker | Status | Trend | Conf | Primary count | Target | Invalidation | Dir. obj. | P(tgt) | Alt P | Sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | clean | BULLISH | HIGH | Bullish Impulse from M34 (735.21) | 737.22 | 735.21 | 753.87 | 80% | 20% | 58 |
| QQQ | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Bearish Impulse (Wave C) from 724.36 | 687.79 | 692.63 | 672.45 | 75% | 20% | 58 |
| TSLA | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Primary Wave C | 314.73 | 322.96 | 299.06 | 80% | 20% | 58 |
| AAPL | clean | BULLISH | HIGH | Wave (v) of Bullish Impulse | 328.57 | 319.35 | 342.74 | 75% | 30% | 58 |
| NVDA | clean | BULLISH | HIGH | Bullish impulse from M22 (191.14) | 204.81 | 191.14 | 245.82 | 70% | 30% | 58 |
| AMZN | clean | BULLISH | MEDIUM | Bullish Impulse from 225.55 | 235.15 | 231.34 | 245.18 | 60% | 40% | 58 |
| AMD | clean | BULLISH | MEDIUM | Primary Bullish Impulse | 511.90 | 462.32 | 580.00 | 75% | 40% | 58 |
| META | clean | BULLISH | HIGH | Bullish Wave (ii) correction completing at 594.60 | 609.98 | 580.10 | 686.08 | 80% | 20% | 58 |
| MSFT | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Bearish Impulse from 405.99 | 377.95 | 386.60 | 360.81 | 65% | 35% | 58 |
| GOOGL | clean | BEARISH | MEDIUM | Intermediate Wave A down | 324.18 | 359.68 | 299.87 | 65% | 30% | 58 |
Data source: AlphaVantage 1m · realized coverage 58–58 sessions (130m base degree wants ~42).
Trend/confidence/counts are the Scout’s reading of the tape; targets, invalidations and P(target) are the falsifiable claims the scorecard above grades. “Alt P” is the alternate count’s relative probability vs the primary.