Every tracked ticker's directional read is scored by FIRST PASSAGE of its own stamped levels
against spot: target before invalidation = WIN, invalidation first = LOSS, unresolved after
5 sessions = SCRATCH. No capital is deployed. The hit
rate by confidence bucket below is the credibility this experiment is trying to earn — the n
counts are shown so a thin sample reads as thin.
| Confidence | W–L | Hit | n | Avg/signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HIGH | 25–32 | 44% | 57 | +0.47% |
| MEDIUM | 9–16 | 36% | 25 | -0.17% |
Revised (withdrawn before resolution): 45 — excluded from the hit rate.
Superseded (same-direction re-anchor): 53 — books no return, excluded from the hit rate. Goalpost discipline: 10 loosening / 51 holds-or-tightens.
SYM / higher-degree coincidence at open (record-only — never scores, sizes, or calibrates):
| Split | +coincident | −none |
|---|---|---|
| Boroden +SYM | 31–40 (44%, n=71) | 3–8 (27%, n=11) |
| Weekly/Monthly level | 26–34 (43%, n=60) | 8–14 (36%, n=22) |
| Ticker | Status | Trend | Conf | Primary count | Target | Invalidation | Dir. obj. | P(tgt) | Alt P | Sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Bearish Impulse from M30 | 747.27 | 755.58 | 736.06 | 75% | 25% | 53 |
| QQQ | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Bearish Impulse from 726.39 | 702.30 | 718.59 | 682.49 | 75% | 20% | 53 |
| TSLA | clean | BULLISH | HIGH | Bullish impulse from T95 (377.22) | 380.58 | 377.22 | 395.09 | 75% | 25% | 53 |
| AAPL | clean | BULLISH | HIGH | Bullish Impulse | 329.16 | 311.91 | 352.23 | 85% | 20% | 53 |
| NVDA | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Bearish impulse from D49 (213.81) | 202.61 | 206.65 | 190.81 | 70% | 30% | 53 |
| AMZN | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Bearish Impulse from 257.12 | 248.12 | 250.24 | 241.51 | 75% | 30% | 53 |
| AMD | clean | BULLISH | MEDIUM | Primary Bullish Impulse | 484.10 | 462.32 | 516.60 | 65% | 40% | 53 |
| META | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Bearish impulse from 686.08 (Wave A or C of larger correction) | 652.20 | 681.90 | 620.47 | 75% | 25% | 53 |
| MSFT | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Bearish Impulse from 405.99 | 395.97 | 405.99 | 366.69 | 70% | 35% | 53 |
| GOOGL | clean | BEARISH | HIGH | Minor Wave 2 UP | 356.74 | 374.92 | 335.84 | 80% | 20% | 53 |
Data source: AlphaVantage 1m · realized coverage 53–53 sessions (130m base degree wants ~42).
Trend/confidence/counts are the Scout’s reading of the tape; targets, invalidations and P(target) are the falsifiable claims the scorecard above grades. “Alt P” is the alternate count’s relative probability vs the primary.